minor -
- 2365.28  

 

 

PLEASE
NOTE:  It is vitally important to know where the market is on this map
at all times, the main model buy and sell signals are generated only
from this VP map...  the trade rules, which you probably already know by
now, are very simple and are explained below...

The
above is a price map in descending order of all currently active
vertical prices above and below the market...  those in red were
generated on previously confirmed buy signals, those in green were
generated on previously confirmed sell signals...  today's closing price
is also included to provide you with a GPS type reading of where the
market currently is in relation to all VP points on both sides of the
market...

 

 

 

 

MARKET	POSITION	BUY STOP	EXIT STOP	BOUGHT AT	SHORT STOP	EXIT STOP	POINTS FROM ENTRY	YTD ON CLOSED POSITIONS
STOCK INDICES		BUY STOP	EXIT STOP	ENTERED AT	SHORT STOP	EXIT STOP				CURRENT PRICE
March ES	long	…	2620.25	2655.50	…	…	70 trades	*805.15
					…	…		*not included
DIA	long	…	244.85	241.59				0.00		250.94
UDOW   *	long	…	81.75	80.35				0.00		87.56
SPY	long	…	262.38	260.75				0.00		270.62
SPXL   *	long	…	37.46	37.58				0.00		41.03
UPRO  *	long	…	39.61	39.62				0.00		43.37
QQQ	long	…	160.89	161.77				0.00		168.4
TQQQ   *	long	…	41.33	43.59				0.00		47.12
TNA   *	long	…	53.33	51.97				0.00		59.39
SOXL	long	…	97.35	99.34				-11.79		115.46
IWM	long	…	145.58	144.09				0.00		151.1
MDY	long	…	328.88	321.03				0.00		339.5
IYT	long	…	177.66	173.86				0.00		185.38
VXX	flat	44.25	41.50					0.38		#N/A
							TOTAL	-11.41
PRECIOUS METALS		BUY STOP	EXIT STOP	ENTERED AT	SHORT STOP	EXIT STOP
April Gold	long	…	1305.40	1302.40	1258.00	1302.40
GLD  *	long	…	121.92	122.56				4.47		123.6
UGL	long	…	37.49	38.34				2.23		38.54
SLV *	long	…	14.51	14.91				0.64		14.72
GLL	flat	73.77	69.24					0.00		70.5
ZSL	flat	38.56	36.14					0.00		36.25
PPLT *	flat	78.94	77.26					-2.84		74.6
GDX  *	long	…	21.07	21.51				0.44		22.08
GDXJ  *	long	…	30.94	31.68				1.30		31.84
NUGT *	long	…	17.32	18.54				0.83		19.59
JNUG *	long	…	9.77	10.51				0.44		10.42
DUST *	flat	25.95	24.29					-1.60		19.57
JDST *	flat	54.70	51.32					0.00		41.27
							TOTAL	5.91
INTEREST RATES		BUY STOP	EXIT STOP	BOUGHT AT
TLT *	long	…	119.73	122.28				4.46		121.87
TMF	long	…	18.39	19.68				2.18		19.54
TBT  *	flat	36.51	35.68					-0.83		34.84
TMV	flat	19.35	18.08					0.00		17.99
VCLT	long	…	86.78	86.50				0.00		88.25
							TOTAL	5.81
UTILITIES		BUY STOP	EXIT STOP	BOUGHT AT
XLU	long	…	52.90	53.63				0.00		55.65
							TOTAL	0.00
AEROSPACE AND DEFENSE		BUY STOP	EXIT STOP	BOUGHT AT
PPA *	long	…	54.40	52.90				0.00
							TOTAL	0.00
FINANCE AND BANKING		BUY STOP	EXIT STOP	BOUGHT AT
FAS  *	flat	59.97	56.27					5.36		58.39
JPM  *	flat	105.34	103.13					-0.23		100.88
							TOTAL	5.13
ENERGY		BUY STOP	EXIT STOP	BOUGHT AT
XLE	flat	65.37	63.96					-2.74		63.24
OILU *	flat	22.96	21.48					-2.71		19.01
GUSH	flat	13.00	12.12					-0.83		9.56
SCO	flat	23.94	22.40					12.00		21.9
							TOTAL	5.72
CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY		BUY STOP	EXIT STOP	BOUGHT AT
DIS *	flat	114.02	111.64					-4.73		109.44
WMT *	flat	99.45	97.36					-4.10		96.2
MCD *	flat	189.52	185.63					-0.38		174.26
TGT *	flat	73.20	71.64					-4.19		70.15
							TOTAL	-13.40
GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE
IGF	long	…	41.62	41.65				0.00		42.5
							TOTAL	0.00
HEALTHCARE		BUY STOP	EXIT STOP	BOUGHT AT
UNH *	flat	272.54	266.99					1.88		257.14
CURE	long	…	50.16	53.47				-3.47		52.56
XLV	long	…	88.56	90.23				-1.89		89.82
JNJ  *	long	…	128.75	131.28				-2.71		132
							TOTAL	-6.19
CURRENCIES		BUY STOP	EXIT STOP	BOUGHT AT
EUO	long	…	24.09	24.91				0.00		25.21
ULE	flat	15.20	14.18					-0.56		14.55
FXY  *	flat	88.08	86.22					1.98		86.43
YCS  *	long	…	72.58	74.55				0.00		75.3
							TOTAL	1.42
FOREIGN MARKETS		BUY STOP	EXIT STOP	BOUGHT AT
FXI  *	long	…	41.44	41.2				0.00		42.55
EURL  *	long	…	22.73	22.43				0.00		23.08
EEM  *	long	…	41.34	40.88				0.00		42.02
EZU  *	flat	37.98	37.12					0.13		36.73
							TOTAL	0.13
TECHNOLOGY		BUY STOP	EXIT STOP	BOUGHT AT
AAPL *	long	…	156.17	159.46				-2.80		169.43
IBM	long	…	132.02	121.96				0.00		133.99
MSFT  *	flat	108.00	105.74					-2.23		105.25
							TOTAL	-5.03
AGRICULTURE AND COMMODITIES		BUY STOP	EXIT STOP	BOUGHT AT
DBA	flat	17.42	16.97					0.00		16.81
DBC	long	…	15.18	15.54				0.00		15.4
CF	flat	44.92	43.92					-0.98		41.96
GCC	flat	18.35	17.88					0.00		17.84
							TOTAL	-0.98
							YTD	-12.89
							%YTD	-0.296%
IF YOU SEE AN ERROR IN TODAY'S LISTING, JUST LET ME KNOW, THANKS…

 

 

 

 

 

The
main model formula is specifically designed to determine precisely and
to the exact market price where the market is most likely to reach
complete buying and/or selling exhaustion, there is no guessing about
it.  This is why the market almost always backs away from those VP
points after reaching them, at least for 10 to 12 points before resuming
the trend...  also, at those VP points, the market is the most
vulnerable to a legitimate trend change.

It's
always wise to hold only a light position in order to tolerate the wild
price action of this market...  also, if you're not nimble with these
markets, then you may want to wait until the market closes for the day
to be sure that any new signal is confirmed, this will eliminate all
possible mid day whips...  to be safer overnight, consider using an exit
stop for capital preservation...

Also,
trailing stops are completely individual, it is presume that
subscribers would have their own personal strategy on how and when to
enter and exit the trade, these market can often be vicious...  the VP
points tell you where and if the market is about to move in one or
another direction...  for myself, I like to take profits at any time I
get the sense I'm satisfied, I don't need to ride out every signal all
the way to the last stop, it's really not necessary...

Also,
if you're having difficulty with these markets, I strongly urge that
you consider a combination of the Hoban Rule and the 1/3 Rule to enter
the trade positions, or just wait until the next morning to find a
comfortable place to enter the trade, there's never a hurry...  this
will eliminate all whips...

The
entire listing as presented is a widely diversified portfolio of varied
market interests, and we know that wide diversification is the key to
reducing market risk in any portfolio...  therefore, the key to
legitimate long term profit with this portfolio is to have positions
widely and even distributed among as many of the different market groups
as possible...  in other words, do not focus on only one market or
favor one market over another, do not attempt to pick winners and losers
with a heavy position in one market and a light position in another,
one should invest the same dollar amount into each position...

Commit
between 2% and 2.5% of your entire account to any one position and no
more or less than that, this way your dollar risk will be evenly
distributed among all markets...

Participate
in as many markets as possible, treat them all the same, this will
further reduce your risk and increase your likelihood for profit...

Upon
entry of any new position, the initial exit stop is a 2% risk for that
position, plus or minus a few ticks, 3X markets should use a 4%
initial risk exit stop...  if you get stopped out, then that's the
end of that trade, do not attempt to chase that market, just wait for
the next signal opportunity, it will come soon enough...  if you are not
stopped out, then the trailing exit stop will rise as the market also
rises...  this will allow you maximum gains for any active position for
as long as that market rallies...

About 1 in 6
or 1 in 7 new positions are stopped out at the initial exit stop, the
other positions quickly recoup that 2% loss and generates further
gains...

Several
of the 3X leveraged ETF instruments are listed in the optimized
portfolio upon request, but be very cautious if you trade any of the 3X
leveraged ETF instruments, the price decays rapidly and is not a true
investment market, it's only a near term hedge instrument...

The
SP confirmation close ALWAYS refers to the mini contract 4:15 pm
futures closing price...  we have discontinued using the large contract
since the volume for the large contract has diminished significantly and
therefore may give false signals...

The
confirmation price is a specific market price beyond which the market
must close in order to confirm a new main model buy or sell signal...
the confirmation price is not a top or bottom picker, it is not
designed to get you into a new position right at, or near, the top or
bottom tick...  but rather, it tells you that the trend has more than
likely changed direction with a high degree of reliability...  as has
been demonstrated with better than a 98% reliability, the confirmation
price confirms that the market trend has legitimately changed direction
and that a new trend has just begun...  very often, a buy confirmation
price may seem so far above the market that taking a new long position
at that high level seems risky...  the same can be said for taking a new
short position at a sell confirmation price...  but factually, these
price points are the most ideal place to enter a new position since
these confirmation prices occur where most people are likely to take new
erroneous positions in the trend that is just ending...  this is why
the market moves so explosively after the price is confirmed, e.g., the
new short holders are scrambling to cover or the new dip buyers are
selling out rapidly...

The
VP, or Vertical Price, is NOT a target, the market is not required or
expected to reach any VP price...  however, if reached, the VP price
represents where the buying/selling has stretched to its maximum
exhaustion point, at least temporarily, and a change in trend is very
likely...  VP prices behave like magnets, they attract the market price,
and when the price touches the VP point, then the polarity reverses and
repels price...  all this market ever does is ping pong between VP
prices...

The
main model formula is specifically designed to determine precisely and
to the exact market price where the market is most likely to reach
complete buying and/or selling exhaustion, there is no guessing about
it.  This is why the market almost always backs away from those VP
points after reaching them, at least for 10 to 12 points before resuming
the trend...  also, at those VP points, the market is the most
vulnerable to a legitimate trend change.  Therefore, when the market
trades through those VP points and then backs away and closes on the
other side of it again, there is a very high likelihood of a trend
reversal at that time...  these VP point are like magnets, they pull and
attract the price until the VP is reached, and then upon reaching the
VP it then reverses polarity and repels price...  at that point, the
market can back away and confirm a new trend signal or return to the VP
and resume the original trend...  this is where the main model
determines the buy and sell confirmation prices...

The
floor price is always there in a down trend, the ceiling price is
always there in an up trend...  these specific prices are rarely
mentioned because the market rarely reaches them...  these are not VP
prices but can be treated the same as a VP price except floor and
ceiling prices change every day while the VP price does not...  a close
beyond the floor/ceiling price should be considered a second buy or sell
confirmation signal...

If
the market touches and then moves away from the VP very quickly and
doesn't return, then this typically indicates a market reversal, but if
the market moves away from the VP and then returns within a day or two,
maybe sooner, then the move is not over and the market is likely to
continue in its current trend... repeated visits to a VP suggests the
move is not yet over...

One
way to enter a new signal trade is to take only 1/3 position only after
the market trades through the confirmation price by a few points...
after that initial position is taken, let the market do what it does
all day...  then, late in the day, if the market is still confirming the
signal, then add the second 1/3 position...  and then, on the close
take the final 1/3 position...  your average entry price will be
above/below the confirmation price but the whips will be significantly
reduced...  this is a method I use for myself very often...

Another
way to enter a new position is to wait for the actual confirmation on
the close, and then take the new position...

Rejected
buy and/or sell signals are typically followed by a sharp market move
in the opposite direction the following day, this occurs as a general
rule...  a rejected sell signal is typically followed the next day by a
sharp rally...  as well, a rejected buy signal is typically followed the
next day by a sharp decline...  however, if the sharp rally/decline
does not occur, then you can expect to see the market make another
attempt at that buy/sell signal...

The
momentum line very closely correlates with the market price...

 

The
email SUGGESTION BOX is always open and invites your ideas for
improving and enhancing your email service, I enjoy hearing from you,
many thanks...

NOTICE:
I SEND OUT AN EMAIL EVERY WEEKDAY EVENING, IF YOU DO NOT RECEIVE ONE,
PLEASE LET ME KNOW, THANKS...